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Trading Opportunities - In The US Dollar Shaping Up Right Now

Thursday, March 22, 2007

Here we are going to look at two trading opportunities last week we banked a great profit in the British Pound. This week we are going to look at the US Dollar V British Pound and Japanese Yen.

Lets look at these two set ups and simple method to profit from them.

For charts we are using the free service futuresource.com. We are using Cash charts, although same logic applies to futures and this is being written Monday AM CET 05 March

British Pound

If you saw our previous report you will see we banked a great short profit in the Pound and now were looking at it from the long side in line with the longer term trend, with the same method.

Daily chart shows short term weakness and prices are moving to the 19000 level.

The fall has been quite strong and the above is key short term resistance to key off.

Bollinger band has been penetrated, RSI is becoming oversold (30.76) stochastic momentum is weak and oversold.

It’s a simple trade.

Look at 19000 level to hold and upside momentum to re assert itself.

The trick for entry is to watch the stochastic momentum and watch a cross to the upside with bullish divergence to indicate strength in the Pound.

Japanese Yen

We have clearly defined nearby support in the dollar at the 11400 level

Prices are rapidly closing in on this level of support.

We have bottom Bollinger band taken out, RSI oversold (28.8) and stochastic momentum weak but not oversold.

Again it’s the same set up:

Dollar strength and resumption of up trend would be indicated by a cross of the stochastic with bullish divergence. A close below 114000 means all bets are off.

Right or wrong keep in mind the following:

These trades look good from a risk reward point of view and have clearly defined levels where the above trading scenario would be negated.

In trading it’s all about risk reward keeping losses small and targeting bigger profits with high probability set ups.

The British Pound trade we were correct with and made nice profit, but even if we were wrong the set up fitted the above criteria, as do these two trading set ups.

Take a look at the scenarios for yourself and see what you think.